Official Frontex and Italian Interior Ministry figures report a steep (-79 %) drop in irregular migration along the Balkan route, yet independent NGOs, local media, and Slovenian data show only modest declines, casting doubt on the official narrative. However, thousands of undocumented crossings were captured by authorities, confirming significant under-reporting. These discrepancies are compounded by worsening Middle-East instability and the renewed exodus of Syrian refugees, which OSINT RADAR and INTERCEPTED project analysts warn could intensify trafficking networks in the Western Balkans. The report synthesizes these findings to provide law-enforcement with a clearer picture of true migration flows and emerging risks.
November, 16 2024.
Migration
Author
Agenfor International
Public Interest Foundation & Social Enterprise
Agenfor International is a public interest foundation and social enterprise registered in the National Register of Third Sector Entities. It promotes international cooperation, social and economic development, and solidarity through research, training, and technical assistance in the fields of human rights, justice, security, and migration.
It operates in networks and consortia with public and private partners to implement projects funded by the EU, state bodies, and international organizations. As a Mandated Body, it supports Italian, European, and third-country public institutions in planning, reporting, communication, and implementation activities. It specializes in the development of innovative technologies, including those based on Artificial Intelligence, for the analysis and prevention of complex criminal phenomena such as migrant smuggling and human trafficking.